Management of Technogenic Safety Based on a Risk–Oriented Approach

Abstract. This paper proposes a managerial decision algorithm based on the developed risk assessment methodology with multidimensional statistical analysis. The methodology allows calculating an acceptable risk level, which can be used in regulatory documents. The decision algorithm is integrated into the information system of territorial risk and safety management. The industrial agglomerations of Siberia are chosen as the object of study, and their main types of technogenic hazards are analyzed. The complex risk is assessed using statistical data on man-made dangerous events, emergencies, material damage, and fatal outcomes from the official database (the Emercom of Russia). According to risk factor analysis, the main technogenic load in territorial units is due to fire and explosive events. The inverse problem is solved, showing the need to reduce the main risk factors for achieving an acceptable level. Minimizing the complex technogenic territorial risk is a management problem with two criteria: the minimum number of fatal outcomes and the minimum amount of damage. Within the complex risk assessment approach, the problem is solved by proposing preventive measures to improve territorial safety.

Keywords: socio-natural-technogenic system, territorial risk, management.

Funding. This work was supported by the Russian Federation President grant no. NSh-421.2022.4.

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Moskvichev, V.V., Postnikova, U.S., and Taseiko, O.V. Management of Technogenic Safety Based on a Risk-Oriented Approach. Control Sciences 3, 13–23 (2022). http://doi.org/10.25728/cs.2022.3.2

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